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Judicial Watch • JW v State Huma classified info 00684 pg 15-20

JW v State Huma classified info 00684 pg 15-20

JW v State Huma classified info 00684 pg 15-20

Page 1: JW v State Huma classified info 00684 pg 15-20

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Number of Pages:6

Date Created:February 8, 2016

Date Uploaded to the Library:February 08, 2016

Tags:rebels, Lanuf, Qaddafis, Forces, Qaddafi, info, Libyan, Comment, Tripoli, classified, individuals, Western, Huma, 00684, Amnesty, libya, unclassified, Benghazi, government, department, states, united


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UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
from:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Attachments:
!RELEASE PART
Wednesday, March 09, 20il 7:55
Huma Abedin
Fw: serious trouble for Libyan rebels. Sid
hrc memo serious problems libyan rebels 030911.docx
BSI
Can you print for w/o any identifiers?
From: sbwhoeop
Sent:
Wednesday ,~-.-...,
To:
Subject: serious trouble for Ubyan rebels. Sid
CONFIDENTIAL
March 2011
For: Hillary
From: Sid
Re: Serious problems for Libyan rebels
The latest report:
(Source Comment: Private individuals Europe, with ties the leadership the National Libyan Council
(NLC), plan urge the NLC military committee tQ,consider hiring private troops (mercenaries) support,
organize, and train the rebel forces Libya. These individuals believe that and the Western allies will
not ma~e decision aid the rebels until they are faced with humanitarian disaster, and that the revolution danger. the same time, these individuals believe small number private troops could tum the battle
against Qaddafis forces, particularly they are equipped with sophisticated anti-aircraft weapons. Thc:;se
individuals also believe that experienced troops will have little trouble shooting down Libyan aircraft and attack
helicopters: the opinion these sources, this would have devastating psychological affect Qaddafis
troops.)
During the afternoon March individuals with access Islam Qaddafi stated confidence that
Muammar Qaddafi increasingly confident that his troops can drive back rebel forces attempting advance Tripoli from Benghazi. According these individuals, Qaddafi continues believe that, and his
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
supporters can hold power for the next two weeks, the morale the rebel forces will begin falter, while
the opposition NLC, and the tribal leaders will begin fight among themselves.
Knowledgeable individuals with access the European security community state that they believe reports that
Qaddafi may preparing flee the country are false. That said, they add that, their opinion, the
surveillance Libya will able tell and when Qaddafi does prepare leave. They add that date there
appears activity indicating that such move about take place.
(Source Comment: According knowledgeable individuals, military commanders loyal Qaddafi, including
his son Kham is, are surprised that NATO and the other Western military organizations have not taken more
direct hand the fighting They continue concerned over this possibility, particularly the wake the
capture Dutch Marines west Tripoli, and reports British Special Forces troops being detained rebel
forces near Benghazi, while attempting contact the NLC. That said, these military commanders still believe
that NATO, and particularly the United States are using satellite imagery and other sophisticated surveillance
devices monitor the military situation Libya. They have warned Qaddafi, that although the Western
powers appear reluctant enter the fighting, this surveillance can identify anti-aircraft facilities and other
sensitive targets, and allows NATO commanders move quickly they decide implement fly zone
over Libya, become more directly involved aiding the rebels. Qaddafi remains confident that and
the Western allies will continue debate course action for the immediate future. also assured his
commanders that neither the Arab League nor the Organization African Unity (OAU) would participate in,
support any attack Libya. Finally, according these sources, Qaddafi believes that Russia and China will
not support any action that involves increasing the military role the United States NATO.) Bengha2i, individuals with access the NLC state confidence that despite the best efforts the NLC,
unified governing body has yet emerge. present, NLC leader Mustafa Abdel Gali! experiencing limited
success his efforts attract members the academic and student movements the NLC. Gali from the
town Albeida, northeast Benghazi !ind has family and traditional ties many academic and civic leaders the region. The leaders the -Senussi family continues assert that they should the basis
for interim government. Galil and his supporters reject this, and only one member the elSenussi has been allowed work with the NLC. (Source Comment: This individual was
imprisoned Qaddafi for many years and respected all sides.).
PORTS:
Individuals with access the military committee the NLC stated confidence that March the major
Libyan oil ports Ras Lanuf and Brega the eastern part the country are closed. The Libyan army fought
rebels for control Ras Lanuf March and rebel official reported that captured Libyan Army officer
stated that Qaddafi would attack oil fields believes that the rebels were winning the conflict. Saturday, March Turkish owned vessel left Ras Lanuf with over 500,000 barrels crude oil. Sources
with access the NLC stated that this was the last cargo vessel sail from that port. (Source Comment: These
individuals said that March the NLC received word that the port Tobruk was operational. Various
sources reported March that the general cargo ports Tripoli, Benghazi and Khoms were operational.)
The NLC sources add that many the oil ports appear closed, and too dangerous use. During the week February Londons marine insurance market added Libya list areas deemed high risk.
OIL PRODUCTION
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
According The International Energy Agency, before the uprising Libyan wells pumped around 1.6 million
barrels per day (bpd). c;if Priday, million bpd this oil production was lost, after foreign oil firms
evacuated their workers.
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927443 Date: 01/29/2016
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Attachments:
Friday, March 11, 20111:12
Huma Abedin
Fw: trick, Galils approach. Sid
hrc memo qaddafis coming tricks 031011.docx
[RELEASE PART
Bsj
Pis print.
From: sbwhoeopl
Sent: Thursday, March 1U~UJ.T1T:l3 Plt1_
To:
Subject: trick, Galils approach. Sid
CONFIDENTIAL
March 10, 2011
For: Hillary
From: Sid
Re: Qaddafis coming tricks and fears; Galils strategy
Latest report: March 10, 2011 individuals with access officials the government ofMuammar Qaddafi stated
confidence that, several his advisors, including Minister Foreign Affairs Mousa Kousa, have discussed the
idea proposing ceasefire the National Libyan Council (NLC), followed negotiations form new
government led council technocrats. Under this plan Qaddafi would stay power the head state
and national leader, and the day day management the country would given over the
technocrats. According these individuals Qaddafi does not believe the NLC its leader Mustafa Gal
wil accept this offer, but feels that enhances his position head state the eye the worid, making
less likely that NATO some combination foreign powers will come the aid the rebels.
Mousa Kousa concerned that while the Western powers remain reluctant commit military action
Libya, they appear moving toward series political and economic gestures which may weaken the
government. was particularly concerned the French government announcing was recognizing the NLC the legitimate government ofLi.bya.
(Source Comment: According knowledgeable individuals both Qaddafi and Mousa Kousa believe the
announcement the Russian government that was suspending arms sales the Qaddafi regime symbolic
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016 nature, and that the Libyan military will continue obtain new equipment and replacement parts for its
existing Russian material, even comes via indirect route. Qaddafi repeatedly states that has survived
numerous assassination attempts, attack the United States Air Force and tribal uprisings. now
increasingly confident that will survive this crisis.) March the rebels continued move back slowly from the town Ras Lanufunder fire from the Libyan
Air Force, and the 155 motorized guns the Libyan Army. Galil has expressed concern the Military
Committee the NLC regarding unsuccessful efforts organize the opposition troops into effective
fighting force. Galil also said other members the NLC that fears the United States and the other
countries are reluctant provide arms the rebels, because they fear that these weapons will fall into the hands Qaida and other radical Islamist groups.
Galil convinced that one his most important tasks convince these Western governments that the rebels
are not supported Qaida, Qaddafi regularly claims. (Source Comment: date Gali! has had only
limited success this regard. also stated that sources Washington have informed him that certain
officials the United States Government want adopt policy urging the Government Saudi Arabia
fund rebel efforts purchase better weapons. However, this time the proposal has not received high level
support.). fighting March 10, forces loyal Qaddafi advanced into the outskirts Ras Lanuf. The Libyan Army
forces moved two T-72 tanks toward the oil town and are firing rebel positions throughout the day.
Eyewitnesses reported that the rebels are pulling out the city under the ongoing artillery bombardment.
Similarly, military airstrikes targeted the oil town ofBrega, located mi/90 east Ras Lanuf.
The Qaddafi regime has begun crackdown international media the country. According knowledgeable
individuals, journalists from the BBC were detained and tortured regime officials earlier the week. BBC
staff members were arrested just outside the embattled city Zawiyah, located mi/50 west Tripoli.
The BBC journalists received permission from the government operate the country. the same time,
reporter from Britains press outlet The Guardian missing the country. The Guardian correspondent and
Brazilian newspaper journalist disappeared the outskirts the city Zawiyah. Guardian officials are
reportedly touch with Libyan authorities attempt ascertain whether the men have been
detained. (Source Comment: During the evening March Libyan Anny forces advanced into Zawiyah,
the rebels withdrew.) March advisors Saif Islam Qaddafi stated confidence that his father had dispatched senior officials Lisbon, Brussels, Cairo, and Vienna, carrying the message that Qaddafi willing negotiate the surrender rebel forces, insuring their safety they lay down their arms. Qaddafi believes that Mustafa Galil and other
former members his government who joined the rebels must prosecuted for treason, but prepared
pardon the bulk the rebels. the opinion these sources Qaddafi asking these governments the
European Union and Egypt weigh with the rebels and influence them receive Qaddafis representatives discuss end the fighting. Egypt, Qaddafis representative, Maj. Gen. Abdul-Rahman al-Zawi, received cool reception from
representatives the Supreme Council the Armed Forces (SCAF), who reminded al-Zawi the incident
1991 when ten members the rebel Libyan National Army (LNA), under Colonel Khalifa Haftar, accepted
Qaddafis offer amnesty they returned Libya from their base the Congo. Upon their return these LNA
fighters were arrested put trial for treason and executed. (Source Comment: Al-Zawi asked discuss these
matters further after had talked Tripoli.)
According these knowledgeable sources, forces loyal Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi closed rebel
forces locations both the eastern and western parts the country March 2011. Zawiyah, located
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016
approximately mi/50 west Tripoli, government forces surrounded rebels the central city square.
Eyewitnesses have reported seeing snipers and tanks surrounding the fighters and stated that clashes are
ongoing. Government forces also drew closer the rebel-held port city Ras Lanuf the eastern portion
the country March Rebel and government forces clashed just outside the city, approximately mi/20 from the city center. Government forces also launched rockets strategic areas Ras Lanuf during the
overnight hours 8-9 March. SeveralI injuries have been reported over the last hours.
Conditions Tripoli have been calm recent days. Tensions remain significantly elevated, but government
orders and edicts have instilled almost forced normality day-to-day operations the city. Traffic and
transport normal, and shops and businesses are open; however, business operations have become increasingly
difficult due stifled economic activity, rising prices and increasing scarcity goods. Internet services and
telecommunications, including text and most mobile phone services, have been suspended the country for
nearly week, creating fiirther business operation problems for workers and companies the capital.
Government surveillance has increased, and security and pro-Qaddafi militia patrols are prominent throughout
the city.
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department State Case No. F-2015-06322 Doc No. C05927461 Date: 01/29/2016